Being the stats freak that I am, I went ahead and created my own formula in Microsoft Excel to determine how good a player really is. I inserted the career numbers of some legends like Magic Johnson and Larry Bird and then tweaked the formula in order to avoid doing things like giving too much credit to a great free throw shooter or a rebounder. After all, nobody will take my formula serious if it claims that Vladamir Radmonovic was more efficient than say Clyde Drexler.
I think I've come close to mastering the formula. I've analyzed the statistics of many of the top players in the league as of yesterday (Jan. 23, 2010) and the results were interesting to say the least. Here are a few interesting determinations. Lets remember that my analysis, for the most part, does not take defense into account, so a Ron Artest or Ben Wallace may be underrated by my formula. This formula measures production more than anything else.
1) Lebron James is the best player in the league and world this season with a rating of 43.49 for the year. To give you some perspective on this, Larry Bird had a 42.05 rating for his career. Michael Jordan had a 41.16 for his career, Kareem had a 40.78 and Magic Johnson a 39.68.
2) Kobe Bryant is not the best player in the league. His rating is a 36.11 -- great but not the best. In fact, Chris Paul (38.32), Dwayne Wade (37.09), Carmelo Anthony (37.04), and Kevin Durant (36.50) are all having more productive seasons than Kobe.
2) Tim Duncan is an offensive juggernaut even at his advanced age. Duncan gets a 35.81 on the production scale. This is ahead of Dwight Howard whom scores a 34.49.
3) There are two underrated players whose production often goes unnoticed. Zack Randolph scores a 35.29 and David Lee a 35.27. Part of this can probably be attributed to the fact that these guys often take their breaks on defense.
I hope you enjoyed my analysis. I look forward to doing much more statistical analysis in the future. If you have anything to say about my findings that you want heard by my readers, please send it to MikeTheBasketballGuy@yahoo.com.
Sunday, January 24, 2010
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