Sunday, May 25, 2008

What the Spurs Need to do to Beat the Lakers

So, i've been watching the NBA Playoffs and following my beloved Lakers. As much as i enjoy watching Kobe Bryant put up awesome stats and Sasha Vujacic confuse the hell out of Manu Ginobili - being a cynique by nature i can't help but to notice that the Lakers play subpar perimeter defense. During this series i've noticed that Bryant not only lags off of his man but sometimes he even totally ignores them.
Whenever Tim Duncan has the ball in the post Kobe doubles. I'm not talking one of those half-assed double teams where a guy just steps towards Duncan then immediately runs back to his man. Kobe fully commits and even turns his back to his man. Now, this wasn't hurting the Lakers during the first two games because Bowen (or whomever Kobe was "guarding") either missed his shots or failed to rotate the ball until an open guy was found. In fact, during the first two games of the series the Spurs made only 11 of 43 three-point-attempts, whereas in the in game three they made 10 of 18. Admittedly, this was partly due to Ginobili making some incredibly difficult shots with a hand in his face. But the lack of defense from Laker perimeter players hasn't been helping.
Now, sometimes teams just go with the ebb and flow and either hit open shots or miss open shots. It's the law of statistics, but you cannot deny that if you leave a professional baller open he is much more likely to make the shot than if you play at least some defense.
I hate to give the Spurs tips on how to beat my team but i will anyway because if i have noticed how the Spurs are most effective than so have Greg Popovich and Phil Jackson.
What the Spurs need to do to win:
1) This first tip is somewhat obvious. The Spurs need to run the offense through Tim Duncan (Duhhhhh!) because he is the best power forward in the game and when he has the ball the Laker player closest to him will double, thus leaving a shooter open.
2) Play Ime Udoka more. Yeah Bowen is a better defender but put Udoka in to take some open shots. The problem with Bowen is that he is a very good three-point-shooter that also happens to be trigger shy. If Duncan is going to kick the ball out to an open guy, that guy better pull the trigger. Udoka is no Ray Allen but he isn't shy about shooting. This past season Bowen put up a three-point-attempt about every 11 minutes of play while Udoka attempted a "trey" about every seven minutes of play. On top of that, Udoka is more willing to cut to the basket. For those that aren't convinced that Udoka can hit a shot as consistantly as Bowen you may have a point. Actually you may have 2 - percentage points. During this past regular season Bowen made 39% of his trey attempts while Udoka made 37%. Both men have stepped up thier shooting during these playoffs - Udoka has made 40% and Bowen has made just under 41%. The only thing Bowen does significantly better than Udoka is play defense and even in that category a fresh-legged Udoka is not far behind.
3) Play some small ball. Fabricio Oberto and Robert Horry are trash. The only big man not named Tim Duncan that gives you anything worthwhile is Kurt Thomas - a guy who can only give you 15-20 quality minutes. While Thomas is a good defensive rebounder and can hit an open shot he doesn't run the court well which prevents Tony Parker from having an effective big man on the fast break. Thomas also has a bad case of "concrete feet" which means that on offense he stands about 15 feet away from the basket and is stuck there waiting for there to be an opportunity for an open jumper. If there is none then he does nothing but take up space. Thomas is more than effective for a slow-paced half court game. When he isn't in the game the Spurs pretty much have a huge blackhole at the other power forward position. My advice is to start Kurt Thomas but get in some time with Duncan at center, Udoka and Finley at the forwards, and Ginobili and Parker at the guard positions. This would be a great change of pace for a third quarter run with a court an offense featuring arguably the best power forward ever and four skilled shooters, two of which can also drive it and draw fouls.

What the Lakers need to do to win:
1) Give the ball to Kobe Bryant.

No comments: